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Builders on firmer foundations as hedge fund snaps up Barratt shares



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Published Date: 12 August 2008
BRITAIN'S beleaguered house builders staged a dramatic recovery yesterday after a hedge fund moved to increase its bet on debt-laden Barratt.
Shares in Barratt Developments soared by as much as 34 per cent yesterday morning after it was revealed that Boston-based Polaris Capital Management had reached a share holding threshold of 6 per cent.

The house builder, which has taken a stock market pummelling on the back of the economic slowdown, closed up 23.6 per cent at 158.25p, its highest level in more than two months.

Despite recent surveys showing the UK housing market continues to slow, Barratt's FTSE-250 rivals also soared on the news, with Persimmon shares closing up 11 per cent, Taylor Wimpey adding 14 per cent and Bovis closing up 9.6 per cent.

Yesterday's movements were a dramatic reversal in fortunes for house builders.

In June, Barratt led the UK listed housing sector downwards as hedge funds "shorted" the company – making profit by borrowing shares to sell immediately, buying them back at a later stage when they hope the price has fallen and pocketing the difference.

The bets were sparked by fears that sales at the company had slowed to such a degree that it would have to renegotiate its banking covenants, placing the company in risk of administration or swapping debt for equity.

Analysts at Dresdner Kleinwort withdrew the bank's target price on Barratt, saying it could not value the shares without further clarity on the value of its assets.

But the interest of Polaris, which only stands to gain if the shares rise, shows investors are increasingly betting the sector is undervalued.

Bernard Horn, a portfolio manager at Polaris, was quoted last week saying he believed the risk of bankruptcy at Barratt was "extremely low", and that "hysteria and panic have overtaken calm analysis of the valuations of UK house builders".

Separately, analysts at Goldman Sachs yesterday slightly upgraded their view of the UK house building sector yesterday, changing the rating on Bellway from "sell" to "neutral" while Bovis Homes was removed from its "conviction sell" list, and increased target prices across the sector.

Polaris is not the only investor to snap up Barratt shares in recent weeks.

Phoenix Asset Management, a London-based investment company, has also built its stake in Barratt from 8 per cent to more than 11 per cent since the start of June. The City will receive a clearer indication of current trading when FTSE-250 builder Bellway provides a trading statement on Thursday.

Persimmon, which was thrown out of the FTSE-100 earlier this year as its shares tumbled, releases its interim results next Thursday.

Barratt declined to comment on the movement yesterday.

BACKGROUND

POLARIS Capital Management describes itself as a "global and international value equity manager".

In financial parlance, that means it is a hedge fund.

Unlike some of their fellow "hedgies", who are obsessively secretive, Polaris is open about its investment methods.

Its "global value philosophy" is "a disciplined combination" of "investment technology and traditional fundamental research … to identify the most undervalued companies worldwide".

The firm manages $3.6 billion for institutions, retirement plans, insurance companies, foundations, endowments, and "high-net-worth individuals".

Bernard R Horn jnr, who founded Polaris in 1995, takes all final investment decisions.

The full article contains 557 words and appears in The Scotsman newspaper.
Page 1 of 1

  • Last Updated: 11 August 2008 8:42 PM
  • Source: The Scotsman
  • Location: Edinburgh
 
1

JRA,

12/08/2008 08:46:36
Bernard Horn is absolutely correct when he says that 'hysteria and panic have overtaken calm analysis of valuations of UK housebuilders' and the same thing applies to the market as a whole.

Institutional investment has been steadily moving in to property in the past 6 months. In addition the Bank Of Santander buys the mortgage heavy A&L whilst banks in general compete for a larger share of the mortgage market pushing down mortgage rates at speed.

Meanwhile the Financial Times Index reports year on year HP falls in only 5 out of 10 regions in England and Wales and the RICS today corroborate this by saying that most surveyors think the market in London and the south is static and they are reluctant to predict falls! (remember 40% of house price purchases in the UK do not require any mortgages as they are bought outright. The Nationwide and HBOS surveys do not reflect these properties).

Oil prices fall like a stone as to factory costs and Ernst & Young predict interest rate falls by the end of the year.


2

ccc,

12/08/2008 10:28:53
Easy Money

Do you actually have any new thoughts of your own ? Your above comment is word for word exactly the same as at least 2 I have read on different stories. Do you just copy and paste something you have saved ? How about you update your copy and paste memory to something new ?

this 'negative hype' and 'hysteria' you must be kidding. Barrta bought another builder at teh height of the boom. They are currently in about £1.5 Billion pounds worth of debt. Their market worth, even after the recent rises, must be £400 million max. Their main assets, land banks, are reducing in value every day.

They are essentially bankrupt.

Now how about you respond to my points above rather than just copy and pasting for once ? :)
3

Memyself&I,

12/08/2008 13:57:13
#1 I couldn't disagree with you more.
House prices are dropping, people are neither buying or selling, energy prices are going up up up.
The hysteria is caused by the fact that house buiders debt is close to or in some cases higher thatn their market value. If they can;t sell house there is a real danger they will go bust.

The problem is, there are too many idiots trying to talk up the housebuilders and property market. Only the other day there was some clown in the Evening News trying to convince the worlds that there was not a problem and that Edinburgh was immune! What a laugh. Of course, he was the managing director of a well known estate agent. Desperate times indeed for these clowns. These people have been talking up the property market for years and its nice that they are feeling a fair level of pain.

The prices in Edinburgh will drop, not because they are too high at the moment, but because prices of other goods will rise greatly, food, energy, gasoline etc,..

4

ccc,

12/08/2008 21:13:23
"house prices in Edinburgh up by 7%...latest report today..."

So which out of date report is this ? The DCLG by any chance ? The same one that is still stating house prices in the UK are increasing !!

Jeez get with reality. If you really think house prices can be rising when sales volume has fallen by almost 50% then you need serious help.
5

Memyself&I,

13/08/2008 10:14:51
#5 Silly wee laddie,not quite.
All you need to do is open your eyes. For your information Lloyds Scotland published a report today telling us prices rose in July. But of course, we can't believe these numbers. I'll explain to you why,...tell me if I go too fast for you. A larger percentage (much larger) of properties sold in July were at the higher end of the market which is largely unaffected for now. These sales do not refelct sentiment across the wider community. Secondly, prices were up on what they were 12 months ago. This does not mean prices are not dropping now. This is something that the media fails time and time again to get across properly.

Yes, inflation will get back under control, the banks will lend again but energy prices (and as a result everything else) will be up 20% - 40%. People will have less money to spend on a mortgage. There really are too many variables, throw in the chronic shortage of new properties being built and there is a bit of drama left yet. The next couple of years will be very telling.

It is impossible for some muppet like you to say with such conviction what is going to happen.


 

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