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A boost of billions - but is it enough to kickstart Britain?

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Published Date: 25 November 2008
The Chancellor yesterday revealed the Pre-Budget Report he hopes will pull the UK from the economic mire. LINDSAY McINTOSH looks at the proposals
Public spending

A TOTAL of £3 billion of capital spending is to be brought forward for schools, roads, housing and energy-efficiency measures. This works by providing employment and helping the struggling construction industry.

Under current Treasury rules, the government is allowed to borrow to invest without breaking its fiscal limits.

Among the projects being brought forward, from 2011, are motorway-widening schemes and improving and building social housing. The government is to invest £535 million more quickly on energy efficiency, rail transport, and environmental protection.

This will mean heating and insulation for homes, better flood defences and 200 new trains. Mr Darling said this was "vital for the future prosperity of the country and supporting jobs in key industries".

VAT

VALUE Added Tax (VAT) has been cut from 17.5 per cent to 15 per cent as part of the £20 billion "fiscal stimulus" package to encourage spending and spur economic growth. The reduced rate will operate from Monday for 13 months.

It is the equivalent, for the average household, of £275 a year. It is intended to get consumers back to stores they have been vacating in their droves. However, critics say it is not large enough to make a difference.

Stephen Robertson, the director-general of the British Retail Consortium, said: "This is a modest but welcome boost."

But he also warned: "Implementing a new VAT rate in just a week will be exceptionally difficult for customers and retailers at their busiest time of year."

Income tax

INCOME tax on the highest-earners – those who make at least £150,000 a year – will be raised to 45 per cent. The new tax band will come in from April 2011. By announcing a deferred tax rise, the Chancellor is attempting to outline how he will make up the borrowing he is doing now.

The deferral of any increases in income tax until after the next election will mean they will not be introduced unless they are endorsed by voters. The new tax band will be paid by about 400,000 earners.

This year's increase in the personal allowance of £120 a year for basic-rate taxpayers will be made permanent and increased to £145 in April, helping 22 million basic-rate taxpayers. From April 2010, those with incomes between £100,000 and £140,000 will see the value of their personal allowance reduced.

National insurance

ALL rates of National Insurance contributions – whether by businesses or individuals – are to rise by 0.5 per cent from April 2011, but the starting point for the levy is to be aligned with that of Income Tax. No one on a salary under £20,000 will make any more contributions as a result.

The Treasury said it chose the 2011 target because, by then, it expected economic growth to be "above trend rates" and real incomes to be growing strongly.

But David Frost, director general of the British Chamber of Commerce, said: "The proposal is wrong. At the very time when the economy should be coming out of the recession, businesses will face an extra tax on employing people. This is not the way to reduce unemployment."

Duty

THE VAT cut is to be partially offset by increases in duty on petrol, alcohol and tobacco. Mr Darling said that the increase in fuel duty would wipe out the recent drop in petrol prices. He said the cut across all three would be "by an amount which should keep the overall cost to consumers the same this year".

The areas are targeted because the government can justify attempting to keep them under control. But the move predictably angered consumer groups who campaign for the industries and consumers. They accused the Chancellor of "giving with one hand and taking away with the other".

Edmund King, AA president, said: "By increasing fuel duty while reducing VAT shows that the Chancellor is playing roulette with global fuel prices and could lose his gamble. It is a very big gamble as there are 32 million motorists out there and most of them have a vote. If the global price of oil increases this hike may come back to haunt the government."

Environment

ALISTAIR Darling, right, indicated that he was not prepared to sacrifice the environment to save the economy. He announced measures including £100 million, on top of £50 million to be brought forward, to help insulate homes.

If energy companies do not take steps to close gaps in prices paid by customers on different payment schemes, the government will take action. And the regulator, Ofgem, will be monitoring price changes to ensure wholesale prices are passed on promptly.

The obligation to produce renewables will be extended and the air passenger duty is to be reformed into a system based on distance travelled. But environmental groups accused the Chancellor of blowing a chance to deliver a Green New Deal.

Mortgages

A NEW body is to be set up, bringing together lenders, the government, trade bodies, consumer groups, regulators and the Bank of England to monitor lending levels and practices by banks.

Major mortgage lenders have agreed to wait at least three months after a borrower falls into arrears before seeking repossession.

The scheme which covers mortgage interest payments for those who have lost their jobs is to be extended. And the Mortgage Rescue Scheme, which helps vulnerable homeowners facing difficulties to stay in their home, is to be extended to cover those with second mortgages.

Together, this provides help worth £200 million.

The Chancellor also welcomed Sir James Crosby's report on finance in mortgage markets, which recommends the government guarantees securities backed by new mortgages. He said he would look at such a scheme.

Jobs

A £1.3 billion package to help the growing number of unemployed was announced, including an expansion of a "rapid response" service to advise on vacancies and careers. It will now include all redundancies, not just those at the largest workplaces. Money will also be given to help retrain workers facing redundancy through a Train to Gain initiative. Local Employment Partnerships, under which firms work closely with local Jobcentres to fill job vacancies, will be expanded to include the short term unemployed as well as those who have been out of work for long periods. Paul Kenny, the general secretary of the GMB union, welcomed the announcements, adding: "People need to wake up to understand that the UK must either invest to keep people in work or spend money on unemployment."

Other measures

FROM 2010, up to eight million people on low incomes who put money into a new "Saving Gateway" will get 50p added from the government for every pound they save. It will be widely available through banks, building societies, credit unions and the Post Office.

The pension credit will rise in April from £124 to £130 a week – and from £189 to £198 for pensioner couples. The basic state pension will go up from £90.70 to £95.25 a week. A rise in the child tax credit of £50 above indexation has already been announced for April, and Mr Darling said a further increase of £25 above indexation, scheduled for 2010, would be brought forward to April. It is worth, in total, £2,235 for families on a modest income.

The government is also working with local authorities to further improve take up of tax credits and benefits, but both Age Concern and Save the Children said the Chancellor's measures did not go far enough.

Car tax

EXTRA rates of car tax will be phased in more slowly and increases will be lower than previously planned. In 2009, the number of vehicle excise duty rates will increase to 13, but the cost for all cars will increase by only a maximum of £5.

From 2010, the maximum increase for the most-polluting cars will be £30, instead of £90, with less-polluting cars seeing no increase or a cut of up to £30.

Cars that emit more than 225gm of carbon dioxide per kilometre but were registered between 1 March, 2001, and 23 March, 2006, will be moved into the new VED band K in 2009 and stay there in 2010. This will mean that they maintain their exemption from the top rate of VED.

Edmund King, of the AA, said: "Gordon's short-term tonic for motorists, whilst welcome, is not enough to bring the fizz back to the used and new car market."

Business

SMEs will share in a £7 billion package which includes access to loans and deferring tax rises. Firms will be allowed to spread tax payments, including VAT and national insurance "for as long as they need".

A £4 billion deal has been made with the European Investment Bank to provide money to UK banks to pass on to SMEs. About £1 billion will be available to their customers by the end of the year and credit will also be offered through a temporary Small Business Finance Scheme, worth another £1 billion.

Russell Hills, head of tax for KPMG in Scotland, said the tax deferral measures were "effectively a government loan that hopes that by giving them more time to pay their bills, they will be able to continue trading and pay in the longer term".


THE PRE-BUDGET REPORT: FULL COVERAGE



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1

SkeptikScot,

25/11/2008 01:08:53
I can't imagine that 2.5% sale is going to excite even the most feverish would-be spender. And even if it did tempt wallets and purses open, surely it will only get everyone deeper into debt?

The biggest supplier of readies was folks homes - countless people remortgaged to fund their consumer fix and bloated lifestyles. This avenue has now been blocked off, meaning that people do not have access to large sums of money anymore. We're broke and maxed out on borrowing.
2

Forward not Back,

25/11/2008 01:14:51
The increase in NI shows what a joke this tax is. It is income tax in all but name. Time to abolish NI and increase income tax. With the abolition of the lower and upper earnings level on NI there will be extra funds that should be used to reduce business taxes.
3

,

25/11/2008 01:31:31
Comment Removed By Administrator
Reason:
4

Dougie Douglas,

Brisbane 25/11/2008 02:34:16
It's all too late - policy on the run if ever there was. The timing of economic stimulus is the key to it's success.

It is clear that the UK media are swallowing what gets churned out by Darling and Brown hook, line and sinker.

If I can take the example of the humble colonial servents governing Australia as an example to contrast this dogs dinner.

6 weeks ago the Australian government announced a large stimulus. Instead of knocking 2.5% off purchase tax (an amount that may on paper stimulate but will not excite the man on the street and cause him to spend up) they are literally giving us all money.

On the 14th of December every pensioner will get a lump sum of $1400, every couple will get $2200.

This has helped to maintain consumer confidence - these are tangible amounts - people have continued to spend as they know extra money is coming into their back pockets. They are not getting it immediately so will not go overboard but rather make meausre and planned purchases.

This initiave has cost a small fraction of the ham-fisted effort by the UK government.. you are far better stimulating demand where it counts and doing it with a sense of purpose than with a tax cut that will not excite (when is the last time you have looked at a price and said 'wow - a 2.5% discount'?

Also as the Australians have had proper control of there banks they now have the enviable position of the four largest banks being in the top 12 in the world in terms of liquidity. Not a single cent has been spent proping up a bank.

I'm sure examples like this of financial prudence exist in many other countries. Consumer confidence and it's management is obviously beyond the ken of this bunch of financial buffoons.

5

FedUpTaxPayer,

Edinburgh 25/11/2008 05:15:14
Darling is beginning to appear to be as financially incompetent as Brown was.

I really fail to see how (and I quote Vince Clark from an article on the BBC website) "a £5 cut in a £220 imported flat screen television or a 50p cut in a £25 restaurant bill" is remotely going to help.

This should been about helping businesses, as by doing so you help preserve jobs, and that (in my opinion) is what is needed to help everybody and the economy.

Labour is simply doing what Labour always does - borrow and spend.

How anybody can even vaguely think of ever voting Labour again, with their habit of destroying the countries economy, is totally beyond me.
6

Pilrig.,

Livingston 25/11/2008 05:51:16
Up to oor armpits in national debt. Yes, it's good to have the strength of the Union around us.
7

Graeme,

Hong Kong 25/11/2008 06:22:15
You lot should seriously consider Hong Kong. It has a massive foreign reserve, no VAT and a top tax rate of 17% (which can be considerably reduced). Clean safe streets, great NHS, great transport,……blah blah.


8

drunken proffet,

Tassy 25/11/2008 06:50:51
Well it has always been a habit for any political party to dictate policy and take the praise when it succeeds. It would be nice if they concentrated on employees and employers for a change and introduce measures to help them. Well unfortunately they cannot do that, it is not Free World Trade. I believe that it is flavour of the month this decade.
9

Randomly Blocked Poster, ,

25/11/2008 06:52:56
#7 Graehae, not only that you forgot to mention the change in the exchange rate over the last 6 months.

As for Darling if you look at all the measures taken together it's just more of the same.

Borrowing to spending got us where we are and what is labour going to about it? Mortgage the whole Bl00dy country so they can spend.

Remind us Gordo what is the fiscal rational of Iraq and Afghanistan?
10

hertscot,

25/11/2008 08:32:47
#9 Darling Has to mortgage the country, because the last time the tories were in they sold off the assets to their friends.
11

Banana Heid,

Ayrshire 25/11/2008 08:39:27
A boost of billions - but is it enough to kickstart Britain?

No!!! Not a chance. Britain sucks anyway but this pathetic pre-budget report will polarise the votes against the union so in a way it's a good thing, It will also ensure that the tories are the next government in westminster and the Labour party are consigned to the history bin and pretty much guarantee Independance for Scotland...
12

Rodster,

Glasgow 25/11/2008 09:10:52
£ down 30% therefore goods up by same amount 2.5% discount err umm let me think.......
13

Voldemort,

Edinburgh 25/11/2008 09:22:26
Didn,t Nick Leeson, the rogue city trade who brought down Barings bank do exactly the same ! Rather than cut his losses he borrowed on the premise that things would get better before the banks credit ran out ... he was wrong and so are you Darling!

Isn't it concerning to anyone else that the way they want to kick start the economy is by getting the banks 'lending' again - so their solution to debt is to borrow more!! This country is screwed until the right people are finally elected but then it will be too late.

If you can move now !
14

Alternative (High-Octane) Fuel Head,

Edinburgh 25/11/2008 09:48:48
Words cannot describe how incompetent and irresponsible this stupid labour government is.

We MUST get them out NOW, even if doing so requires extreme measures.
15

Alternative (High-Octane) Fuel Head,

Edinburgh 25/11/2008 09:53:42
#11:

Currently, independence for Scotland would be a very bad thing. Look at the credentials of most of your beloved SNP. They are predominantly stupid labour.

An independent Scotland under their control would be going cap-in-hand to Westminster within about 5 years---in the hope that the Westminster government would be able to do something to bail them out.

If the SNP consisted of mainly ex-tories then I would be right behind them, however at present, a vote for the SNP is actually a vote for the un-sanitized "old-style" labour and that is incredibly dangerous.
16

Langenburger,

25/11/2008 10:18:29
The Chancellor has missed a trick and as such his Keynsian conversion is flawed and as big a muddle as FDRs New Deal and will be judged as such.
His focus should have been on infrastructure because that would have brought short term employment and also long term multiplier benefits downstream when the country has to pay for the borrowing
In simplistic terms - which will be more useful in 2012
A dual carriageway from Edinburgh to Newcastle or extra shoes gathering dust in Scottish wardrobes?
All fanning consumerism will do is maintain a flawed system that was approaching a natural correction.
In property there are three key words Location Location Location
Well Mr Darling your three words should be
Infrastructure, Infrastructure, Infrastructure!

17

Alan B,

25/11/2008 10:46:01
#Alternative

Westminster has helped create and foster the dependency culture of Scotland. If scotland had been independent 30yrs ago labour would have been a footnote in scottish political history as the people would have soon found out how incompetent they were.
18

Mcsnagpile,

25/11/2008 11:54:36
It is not possible to kick start the international or national economy. Why?? Because in a global expanding economy commodities production cannot meet demand —Like oil, –like aluminium, etc etc.
If we restart our global economy expansion tomorrow, the price of oil and coal and other commodities will rise, being unable to meet demand. This will result in another market crash. It will also put a great deal of our production cash in the hands of the commodity none manufacturing producers, which is politically destabilising.

Certainly the age of oil is over. We should be coming out of this coming depression with new ideas, a new culture, new technologies and a new World; hopefully also a new financial system instead of a pseudo religion.
19

Bele's bane,

Scotland 25/11/2008 13:14:02
The present global financial problem is another American gift to the world!
20

Finlang,

France 25/11/2008 21:57:57
#7 Graeme,Hong Kong

Hear hear. I've said it before but it tends to act as a clarion call to the usual sour anti-China ranter brigade. HK is a great place. A model of genuine industry, nice people, superb quality of life ...
21

Axl,

Edinburgh 25/11/2008 22:42:57
Funny how Mr Darling seems so keen to be 'green' and help people insulate their homes, yet at the same time has abandoned his plans to charge significantly more road tax for the most polluting vehicles.

Maybe his Missus is planning to buy a Range Rover with all the VAT cash she's going to save when buying her groceries at Selfridges..

 

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