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Manufacturing leads business confidence

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Published Date: 27 September 2006
LLOYDS TSB Scotland's latest economic monitor shows companies have enjoyed a strong past three months.
This latest edition, for the period ending last month, shows 43 per cent of firms surveyed reporting an increase in turnover, 36 per cent reporting static turnover and 21 per cent reporting a decrease, giving a net balance of +22 per cent, significan
tly up from the +17 per cent for the same quarter in 2005.

Turnover remains positive in both production and services, though the manufacturing sector is now reporting stronger results than services. The net balance figure for turnover for production was +28 per cent compared with +20 per cent for service. In the previous quarter, the figure for production was +25 per cent and for services +26 per cent.

Expectations for turnover in the next six months continue to remain at a high level. Production businesses are showing stronger expectations, with a net balance figure of +48 per cent compared with +23 per cent for service businesses - the highest figure for manufacturing in nine years of the Business Monitor survey.

Professor Donald MacRae, chief economist, Lloyds TSB Scotland said: "

The Scottish economy has recovered well from the slowdown experienced at the end of last year and is growing around its trend rate in 2006. The Scottish economy should grow at around 2 per cent in 2006."



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1

The Strategist,

27/09/2006 00:21:52

2% growth is still well below that of the UK overall.

2

Brad,

Glasgow 27/09/2006 09:12:35

Most of the difference is accounted for by the faster-growing population in England, and specifically South and East England.

Our overall growth rate has lagged the UK average for decades yet on a PER HEAD basis has grown at a similar rate. Down South, the 'wealth cake' is growing faster but it's being split among ever-more people.

Recent official stats (www.statistics.gov.uk/pdfdir/rgva1205.pdf) show that Scotland's GVA per head is the highest outside London, SE and East England. This 'mega-region' inflates all the UK economic indicators - most UK regions are 'below average'. Scotland is one of the better-performing 'regions' on many indicators (not to say that it couldn't do better, of course).

Doesn't sound so bad when you look at it that way...


 

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