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Fresh fears over property market as mortage approval rate collapses



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Published Date: 01 September 2008
THE number of mortgages approved for people buying homes dived by 71% during the past year to hit a new record low, figures showed today.
Just 33,000 mortgages were approved for house purchase during July – 6% fewer than in June, and down from 114,000 in July last year, according to the Bank of England.

Pipeline loans for people remortgaging also continued their downward trend, dropping to 69,000 during the month, a 14% slide compared with June's approvals figure.

The total value of all mortgage approvals continued to slide during the month to reach the lowest level since October 2001 of £14.57 billion, 12% less than in June.

The figures, which come as property website Hometrack said house prices in England and Wales had fallen by 5.3% during the past year, show the drag the credit crunch is continuing to have on the mortgage and housing market.

People planning to move are sitting on their hands as they wait for the outlook in the market to become clearer, while those who want to go ahead are struggling to raise the finance they need.

Existing homeowners coming to the end of mortgage deals are also delaying switching to a new rate and are instead staying on their lender's standard variable rate.

This inertia is likely to be caused by them either hoping the mortgage market will improve in the near future, enabling them to get a better deal if they wait, or because they do not have enough equity in their home to qualify for a more competitive rate in the current climate.

Total mortgage advances fell for the sixth month in a row during July to just £21.51 billion, the lowest level since December 2004, the Bank of England said.

But net mortgage lending, which strips out redemptions and repayments, increased slightly to £3.23 billion, up from £3.14 billion, although it is still 65% lower than in July last year.

Howard Archer, chief UK and European economist at Global Insight, said: "The very weak Bank of England mortgage data shows that housing market activity continues to be throttled by stretched affordability and ongoing very tight lending conditions."

He added that the approvals figures pointed to "further marked falls" in house prices over the coming months.

Oliver Gilmartin, senior economist at the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors, said: "Yet another low for mortgage activity offers little hope that house price declines will find a floor any time soon.

"Buyer interest has shown some murmurings of a recovery in recent months but, with the barrier of mortgage finance fortified by the day, pent-up demand will only exacerbate the boom-bust cycle once a return to normal market conditions resumes."

Unsecured borrowing rose by £1.09 billion during the month, up on June's figure of £906 million, but below the recent six-month average.

Within the total, credit card borrowing was relatively subdued, with outstanding debt rising by £320 million, down from £430 million the previous month.

But lending through loans and overdrafts increased to £770 million, well up on June's rise of £476 million.

The full article contains 530 words and appears in The Scotsman newspaper.
Page 1 of 1

 
1

The Spook in Leith,

01/09/2008 10:47:49
With the English property market being so greedy and people selling homes at way over the top prices and first time buyers being priced out of oblivion, im not surprised the bricks and mortar bubble has gone pop.

No one wants to see anyone paying a mortgage that is worth more than the house, ie 210K mortgage for a home worth 169k but that's what happens when the masses play around with the property market as if it were some kind of hobbie
2

Liz,

Edinburgh 01/09/2008 11:14:19
#1
I think you will find this is not exclusivly an English problem. Scotland is equally overpriced. The banks have alot to answer for (including some of the main Scottish ones as well as Northern Rock - amongst others) for lending people money that they very obviously could not really afford and therby inflating prices beyond all sensible salary and affordabilty ratios.
3

The Former Mr. Angry,

Perth 01/09/2008 12:05:23
But just wait - Gordon is about to reveal his cunning plan to revive the housing market. There are a couple of small snags which are that he'll have to use our money to do it and secondly he's reverting to his previously "successful" inflationary price policy which caused the problem in the first place.

He should of course let market forces prevail and let the excess prices be squeezed out of the market as they are. Then things will iron themselves out.
4

Confused,

edinburgh 01/09/2008 12:37:28
#1 it's not just the masses playing around in the property market, it is the insane way the banking world has thrown caution to the wind, lending anything to anybody. Speculation of this sort is the worst financial trait their is and the banks should be shedding those who proposed it. However, as usual it is the ordinary person who is at the bottom of the pile who will pick up the pieces. I do hope that our "financial gurus" finally get the message that lending over 100% in the hope of being paid back is not a sound financial system. The financiers caused this and they should take the blame.
5

carrottop,

01/09/2008 13:16:16
3# Rumour is that Gordon is going to let all asylum seekers stay in this country as they will be able to buy up all the spare property on their benefits thus kick starting the housing market.
Labour do have some ideas!
6

Andrah,

Embrugh 01/09/2008 13:20:04
1# What a profound analysis. So we have greedy owners in Longtown but not in Gretna, and in Cornhill but not Coldstream. Strange that, but reassuring that no one in Leith has sold homes "at way over the top prices and first time buyers being priced out of oblivion".
7

,

01/09/2008 13:51:00
Comment Removed By Administrator
Reason:
8

Joanna,

Cambs, England 01/09/2008 14:31:15
Thats it Spook - you blame the English, that'll solve the problem won't it?

There are high prices in London and parts of the South-East but there are also relatively low prices in most of East Anglia. I would bet that the prices in this area are much lower than Edinburgh's, some of the Borders and Aberdeen for instance.

Here's a little gem for you - there is an awful lot of England which is not London.
9

connaughtboy,

stonehaven 01/09/2008 14:51:20
Why is the Scotsman publishing an article which is primarily about the property market in England and Wales rather than Scotland?

More lazy journalism?
10

Active Sassenach,

Luton, England 01/09/2008 15:02:11
The true grit of all dinner parties is the conversation about property prices. If it's not how much they are going up, it's how much they are going down. We are, I suspect, one of the few European countries where getting a house is such a struggle. People dress up and offer hospitality to entertain each other with what a struggle home ownership is and how to duck and dive a few tricks here and a few quid there.

They do not have this problem in Germany I am told and, until the British arrived, they did not have it in France I know for a fact. In all this, we could spare a thought for people who live in refugee camps because they are pawns in political and military conflict. It might restore our sense of proportion.

The 'home ownership' model of getting a roof over your head is a largely fictitious creation of 'wealth' among people on ordinary incomes as they discover if they ever have to move house, or it needs substantial repair for which they have to pay. The only way to tap the wealth is to borrow against it and pay or roll up interest. The capital this ties up seriously damages the ability of the whole economy to invest in proper business expansion.

If the devolved Parliament of Scotland, narrowly, or the Government of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, as a whole, uses public money to perpetuate this farce, it should expect no seats at the next elections.
11

King Banana,

Edinburgh 01/09/2008 15:55:30
"With the English property market being so greedy and people selling homes at way over the top prices and first time buyers being priced out of oblivion, im not surprised the bricks and mortar bubble has gone pop."

The problem is that the bubble is being prevented from popping. Everybody in the property business is dedicated to maintaining the fictions that
1 - prices should be propped up
2 - The Scottish property market is still doing OK

when we all know that property is over-valued by up to 50% and that the situation is as dire in Scotland as anywhere else. No-one is willing to take 'the hit' on property prices though. None of the housebuilders are willing to drop their £350K fanatasy prices for a two bedroom flat to a more realistic £240,000. The best thing would be a catastrophic collapse in prices and a more realistic attitude towards price rises afterwards.
12

Tobytoo,

Southington, U.S.A. 01/09/2008 18:46:18
This is not only happening in England and Scotland but also all over the U.S.A.
13

Julian.,

edinburgh 01/09/2008 22:27:07
#2 Liz,

Don't the idiots who took out the mortgages when they couldn't afford to pay them back have something to answer for as well?
14

Theologist,

Auckland 01/09/2008 22:28:15
We have the same situation here in New Zealand. Also in Australia. We are told that this is due to over-valued housing stock, high interest rates, credit crunch etc, but it turns out that it's all due to the English being greedy !
15

Julian.,

edinburgh 01/09/2008 22:31:52
#10 Connaughtboy,

The Scotsman is an international which reports on stories outside Scotland. And whether you like it or not we are part of the same United Kingdom that England and Wales are. What happens there will have an influence on what happens here.

Now if they were banging on about prices in Sierra Leone that would be a different issue;-)
16

Julian.,

edinburgh 01/09/2008 22:33:48
#15

Thanks, you made me smile. Fortunately for you guys it's a few years since English (British) greed caused problems on the other side of the world. Stick to blaming the credit crunch etc.
17

meltonmark,

Maidstone, Kent 01/09/2008 22:43:38
I cannot believe it is the 'fault' of those who purchased houses at a high price. No one deliberately buys a property for the highest price they can raise it to. They buy a house at that price because that is the only way they can get onto the property ladder. One tends to buy the most expensive house one can afford in the hope of maximising future capital gains.
House prices in the UK are a function of supply and demand. Demand is a function of the availability and price [interest rate] of property finance. All those who are calling for easing of interest rates, government assistance to purchase, banks to improve mortgage liquidity, are really saying that their answer to inflated house prices is to inflate them even more. Nice, I suppose, if you are a property owner. The downside is the drain of vast liquidity from the market, that could have gone into wealth creating investments such as manufacturing, research, exploration, and so forth.
18

Julian.,

edinburgh 01/09/2008 23:00:03
#18 meltonmark,

It's those who purchased the houses at a high price and then couldn't afford to make the payments when base rates went up 1%. They're the ones who are the root cause of this problem. That's why the banks have run out of spare credit.

Don't get me wrong, I do blame the banks as well. But only from the point of view that they didn't do their job properly in filtering out these idiots. It's rather like the bouncer who lets in a drunken troublemaker to a night club. Who do you blame for the fight which ensues?

 

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