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Hint of green shoots after house prices edge up again

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Published Date: 30 May 2009
HOUSE prices rose slightly this month, bringing some evidence of an upturn in the market.
Figures yesterday from the Nationwide Building Society showed prices rose again in May by 1.2 per cent, after a 1 per cent rise in March and a fall of 0.3 per cent in April.

The average house price in the UK – £154,016 – is still lower than it
was a year ago. However, the recent rise means the amount by which property prices have fallen has declined significantly, from 15 per cent to 11.3 per cent.

The quarterly change has also improved from minus 3 per cent in April to minus 0.5 per cent in May and now stands at its highest level since January 2008. However, the Council of Mortgage Lenders reported a 9 per cent fall in advances last month.

A spokesman for the Edinburgh Solicitors Property Centre said the average house price in the capital was stabilising at about £190,000 to £200,000.

He said the ESPC predicted the number of sales for this year will be less than half what it would have been before the crash.

"What we are seeing is that house prices are stabilising from month to month. We don't believe consumers should have concerns about buying a property and then prices taking a dip," he said. "We are still seeing a reduction in potential buyers because of the credit crunch."

Martin Gahbauer, Nationwide's chief economist, said: "Although the short-term trend in house prices has clearly improved from where it was at the beginning of the year, it is still too early to say that the market is turning definitively.

"During the downturn of the early 1990s, there were many months during which prices rose, only to fall back down again.

"The combination of rapidly rising unemployment and tight access to credit implies that the last of the price declines has probably not been seen yet."

Housing market analyst Dr Howard Archer said it was too soon to predict an end to the property price slump.

"Housing market activity remains very low by past norms and our expectation is that the pick-up in activity will be gradual and fitful for an extended period, given still very poor economic fundamentals and relatively tight credit.

"It remains very difficult for many people to get mortgages, particularly first-time buyers."

Simon Rubinsohn, Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors chief economist, was also reluctant to predict the end of the slump. "Even though house prices do appear to be rising in some particularly desirable locations at the present time, it would be premature to assume a more general reversal of the slide in house prices," he said





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1

Iainbroch,

30/05/2009 00:48:36
Planet Earth to Hootsman - leave the wacky backy alone!
2

Charles Linskaill,

Edinburgh 30/05/2009 01:24:49



Don't count your,,,,'Green-Shoots'!
And,....'Don't Count Your Chickens Before They Hatch'!

Did you get that!!?, Does one Understand This?



3

Charles Linskaill,

Edinburgh 30/05/2009 01:27:54


Pessimist, or Optimist? Or being Dammed Sensible?
4

Charles Linskaill,

Edinburgh 30/05/2009 01:39:22



Has anyone seen, 'Mystic Meg' recently?

5

,

30/05/2009 05:51:24
Comment Removed By Administrator
Reason:
6

ebbi,

spain 30/05/2009 10:21:32
its interesting to see that despite numerous attempts by the media to hype up the stock market one more time people are not falling for it. just read the comments. no one believes the crooks who produce various statistical numbers coming from the government and brokerage houses. people have wised up although it may be a bit too late.
with the level of government borrowing whether in uk or usa or rest of europe there can not be a recovery simply because the interest rates will have to go up pretty soon to combat the inflation caused by mindless printing of the toilet paper now called money. inflation is coming with a vengeance,just look at oil prices !!!!
this green shoot business is just a load of bulls##t.
they are just trying to buy time.usa is going down due its massive debts.china has already panicked and they are asking serious questions about future of us dollar.
7

Firozali A.Mulla MBA PhD,

Dar-Es-Salaam 30/05/2009 15:16:07
WHAT GREEN WITH THE WHITE PAINT STORY COME OFF
Say how much is the train fare from UK to The Holy Land?
No, I do not want to go. I want to know. May be Virgin may want to explore the land that is habited
I have yet another story to tell. We then come to UK. I has been to one country I name this not. The houses of all the private farmers, businessmen, residents of foreign origins all told were taken by the government. The Housing Corporation was formed. If you had five, one was given back to you and rest went to the Housing Corporation. Come later years in 2000, the buildings had the rents of 1960, 70 and very low. What do you think the corrupted societies do? Increase the rent? No. The start cancelling the lease of 99 years to 33, thereby all the houses now to be demolished. Sounds same. The corporation started this. The main streets had the sand, cement, the bricks building machine that goes bang, bang and the brick come out one at a time. The hammers and the drills go day in day out keeping the residents nearby awake. They have no way to complain. That is not the end. The new pseudo act they create not in the parliament, out of the Law (remind you of UK constitution), makes the Corporation owner of any news building to give up 50 % to the builders and rest to the Housing Corporation.
Who would build? The streets are dosed with uncompleted buildings and no one wants to venture in the real estate. The rest is easy. Rents kill the residents. The unemployment go up, rent up, rest is Allah Karim (great).
I thank you
Firozali A.Mulla
8

Geed,

31/05/2009 22:07:55
No offense I pee on your green weeds..ahem shoots Claire. What has changed from 3 months ago? The stock market is up a little, watch it fall twice as quick in the next couple of months. Unemployment is up again. Banks still require 25% deposits for the best mortgage deals. House prices are still at massively unaffordable levels. Wooo its spring better go and buy a house the crash is over!

Flick back 18 years or so ago and read the papers....green shoots this green shoots that, it took until 97 for any meaningful rise in property values. 8 years after the start of the crash, and you think the crash is over in less that a year, forgive me while I explode with laughter. We currenly have a case of impatient people who "oh darling we can't possibly rent for another year!", and have convinced themselves that this dead cat spring bounce is the dawn of a new asset bubble. Fools.

Check out the lastest Q1 RoS figures Claire and report on the 24% DOWN from peak values in Edinburgh...no didn't see that reported in ta Johnston Press rag did we.

 

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