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Out of 600,000 bits of space debris, we're about to be hit by one the size of a bus



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Published Date: 28 January 2008
IT IS the size of a bus, weighs in at ten tonnes, is loaded with toxic chemicals and is hurtling to Earth at 22,000mph. No-one, unfortunately, knows where it is going to land.
US government officials admitted yesterday that they have lost control of a spy satellite and said it will smash into the planet within weeks.

The unnamed surveillance satellite is just one of an estimated 600,000 pieces of space junk currently flying above our heads.

Experts have warned that humanity has made "a zoo" of space with the amount of dead satellites and rubbish.

The spacecraft may have lost power as much as a year ago, but there is no estimate of where it could hit or what damage it could cause.

Only one person has ever reportedly been struck by a piece of space debris – a woman in Oklahoma who was hit in the shoulder by a piece of material but uninjured.

UK bookmakers last night placed the odds of being struck by this US spy satellite at at least 20 billion to one.

But while many bits of space junk are guided to crash down safely into the sea, the lack of control over the satellite means its operators cannot say where it will land.

Professor John Brown, Astronomer Royal for Scotland, said: "We are making quite a mess up there – it's a bit of a zoo. And it's going to get worse with China and India up there. It's a big, big problem and if you get into space, you can get damaged by tiny bits of paint travelling in the region of 10km per second or 22,000mph. The energy is huge.

"If it hit land it could be like a small plane crash, but nobody has ever been killed by a falling space object. Anything that's not designed for re-entry would probably break up. The more catastrophic thing would be an asteroid hitting the earth."

There are more than 600,000 objects in space measuring more than 1cm, according to the European Space Agency's Meteoroid and Space Debris Terrestrial Environment Reference. And the US Strategic Command has a catalogue of about 12,000 objects in space. Only 600 are said to be operational satellites.

NASA's Orbital Debris Program Office states that spacecraft re-entering because of decaying orbits or controlled entry usually break up at altitudes between 84 and 72km from the ground. Larger items break up lower in the atmosphere and lighter objects such as solar panels typically break up around 90-95km.

More than 100 tonnes of man-made objects make an uncontrolled re-entry each year. Of satellites that re-enter, only about 10-40 per cent of the mass of the object is likely to reach the ground.

Gordon Johndroe, a spokesman for the National Security Council, said of their uncontrolled satellite: "Appropriate government agencies are monitoring the situation. Numerous satellites over the years have come out of orbit and fallen harmlessly

"We are looking at potential options to mitigate any possible damage this satellite may cause."

The spacecraft is understood to contain the rocket fuel hydrazine, a colourless liquid with an ammonia-like odour, and a toxic chemical that can harm anyone who gets in contact with it.

An uncontrolled re-entry could risk exposure of US secrets, said John Pike, director of the defence research group GlobalSecurity.org.

Spy satellites typically are disposed of through a controlled re-entry into the ocean so that nobody else can access the spacecraft, he said.

Mr Pike also said it is not likely the threat from the satellite could be eliminated by shooting it down with a missile, because that would create debris that would then re-enter the atmosphere and burn up or hit the ground.

The full article contains 651 words and appears in The Scotsman newspaper.
Page 1 of 1

  • Last Updated: 28 January 2008 8:50 AM
  • Source: The Scotsman
  • Location: Edinburgh
  • Related Topics: Space science
 
1

Boy Wonder,

28/01/2008 00:04:36
Please let it fall on Westminster ... please let it fall on Westminster ... please let it fall on Westminster! When it's in full session of course! (rpt 100 times!)
2

Cabbage Patch Troll,

28/01/2008 00:19:08
The Americans know everything.

https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/uk.html
3

,

28/01/2008 01:17:04
Comment Removed By Administrator
Reason:
4

American,

28/01/2008 01:50:14
#3-b&w-lol!
5

GalacticCannibal,

Murrieta, CA..captured from Mexico 1845 28/01/2008 01:53:50
#3 beats out #1 by a mile.

#3 has world wide value.

#1 has local parochial value

#3 WINS the GOLD

#1 WINS the COPPER

Stay cool Dudes.

GC
6

B.M.,

Canada 28/01/2008 03:11:05
#3: Brilliant!
7

B.M.,

Canada 28/01/2008 03:12:19
#5 wins the shrooms.
8

Esther272,

New York 28/01/2008 03:30:28
I don't think my medical insurance would cover me for this.
9

Long Black Veil,

New York 28/01/2008 04:39:06
Esther272 #8

Most likely not. However, that gives you or your heirs the perfect pretext for filing a massive lawsuit against any and everyone who could possibly be considered at fault. And there could develop some pretty whacky theories. To give you an idea: I actually worked for the law firm that defended the "non-carrier" airlines who were sued by the families of 9/11 victims. The "non-carriers" were those airlines unfortunate enough to have been merely sharing terminal space with United and American at the time of the attacks. Eventually these lawsuits were dropped by the plaintiffs because they all walked off with much better awards from the Victims Compensation Fund than they'd have gotten if they'd persisted with these suits. But it just goes to show what greedy lawyers will be willing to do in the U.S.

10

B.M.,

Canada 28/01/2008 04:40:27
#8 Esther: If the thing hits you you won't need medical insurance ...... do you have funeral coverage?
11

,

28/01/2008 05:58:03
Comment Removed By Administrator
Reason:
12

donald,

glasgow 28/01/2008 06:50:36
Merr chance of a bus landing in Kelvindale
13

CaliforniaDreamin,

SanFrancisco 28/01/2008 06:52:01
#2: CIA Factbook
"At its zenith, the British Empire stretched over one-fourth of the earth's surface."

Inasmuch ~70% is ocean, I guess you didn't leave much for anyone else!

(Ever wonder why our (U.S.) foreign policy seems hopelessly screwed up?)

14

Media 1,

cape town 28/01/2008 07:14:07
If it falls and kills someone, will the people who sent it up there be responsible?
15

GalacticCannibal,

Murrieta, CA..captured from Mexico 1845 28/01/2008 07:18:41

CaliforniaDreamin,
SanFrancisco
----------------------------------------

Plastic Bags are banned in San Francisco . So stop using PBs Dude.

GC
16

49th State,

down the hall and to the right 28/01/2008 07:28:44
I sure hope is harmlessly falls near here and some parts survive the atmosphere on re-entry. I'd love to have a piece of this in my collection.
17

Selgovae,

Scottish Borders 28/01/2008 08:08:07
So if this lands in my garden, is it mine? Does anyone know?
18

John F,

28/01/2008 08:45:44
Well guys if it lands in my garden i would surely as i stand here, try my hardest to sell it on Ebay :)

Failing that i am sure the dukes of hamilton would attempt to call in the old we own all mineral rights on your land clause.....
19

scottish person,

paisley 28/01/2008 08:51:58
Surely at 20 billion to one its worth putting a pound on
20

The Genuine Mario Antoinette,

28/01/2008 09:03:17
19. its already heavy enough
21

Alternative (High Octane) Fuel Head,

Edinburgh 28/01/2008 09:36:25
Have we really launched in excess of 600,000 spacecraft since the Russians launched Sputnik 1 in 1957?

That seems incredible!

22

BMeister,

28/01/2008 09:47:20
#21 It would be incredible if true. However this is 600,000 objects > 1cm, not that many are full sized satellites.
23

Stewbydoo,

Stirling 28/01/2008 09:51:41
12 Donald - Well at least you know the space junk is coming unlike the buses.
24

,

28/01/2008 10:07:34
Comment Removed By Administrator
Reason:
25

,

28/01/2008 10:07:51
Comment Removed By Administrator
Reason:
26

Doreen,

The Cyber Shebeen 28/01/2008 10:08:03
Not enough that our messy barsteward of a race has to pollute the planet...we are doing it in outer space now...gawdstrewth!...

This sounds like an episode of 'The Hitchhikers guide to the galaxy'...episode 12 'Planet Earth is fined a zillion grottles by the department of 'Mucky Intolerance'...cannot pay it so is blasted into big chunks...
27

,

28/01/2008 10:10:14
Comment Removed By Administrator
Reason:
28

Martha,

28/01/2008 10:11:50
Space junk is very real but then so is ocean junk, and nobody's getting all hyper about that. And there's a lot more space than ocean.
29

ddmc,

28/01/2008 10:28:11
#3 got zapped by the content polis, can someone repost so i can get a laugh too
30

Slioch,

Scottish Highlands 28/01/2008 10:44:29
#17 Selgovae and #18 John F

Once it's landed just get hold of a few bits of twisted iron from your local scrap yard and sell them on ebay as having fallen from outer space. You'll make a fortune - and you won't be telling a lie - everything on earth came from outer space at one time.
31

,

28/01/2008 10:50:54
Comment Removed By Administrator
Reason:
32

Neil,

Glasgow 28/01/2008 11:32:29
I think the chance of any rocket fuel which may be left surviving re-entry are less than that of the proverbial snowball in Hell.
33

SILVANA,

glasgow 28/01/2008 12:02:37
It does not really matter where it lands..............it's going to land unless somebody can fin superman
34

TimW1234,

Ottawa, Canada 28/01/2008 12:17:37
Galactic Cannibal

STOP calling us "Dudes", you stoner from California.

Since the recessioning US of A is sh*t*ing on everybody all over the world, why not have 20,000 pounds of space junk fall on a worth person or instituion.

I nominate GC, Holyrood Parliament, British Prime Minister, and our Canadian Prime Minister Harper and most of his incompetent and under-educated Cabinet.
35

Slioch,

Scottish Highlands 28/01/2008 12:38:54
##21 BMeister said, "It would be incredible if true."

I would have thought that were it to be true it would be less incredible.

Though, come to think of it, many people seem to believe in things that are not true, and refuse to believe in things that are.
36

sahsa,

28/01/2008 12:43:51
any bookies taking bets, if so let me know who. It would do us a favour if it hit the scottish parliament building as long as no one is in it.
37

Nell,

The Preservation Hall 28/01/2008 13:00:55
If its the size of a bus, does that mean that once its hit us another one will come along?
38

ddmc,

28/01/2008 13:08:06
#37, only if it's a 22 going to ocean terminal
39

fred bloggs,

Edinburgh 28/01/2008 13:35:57
If we knew its orbit we'd have a better chance of getting out of the way...
40

fred bloggs,

Edinburgh 28/01/2008 13:38:44
The chances of a single person being hit is extremely small. If the entire world population were to stand shoulder-to-shoulder the area occupied would be roughly equal to the Isle of Skye.

Come to think of it....
41

RSBuff,

The Real World 28/01/2008 13:59:24
It's actually the Scientology Mother Ship coming for Tom Cruise... Unfortunately, it will probably miss his house.
42

zigzag,

Tecumseh Ontario 28/01/2008 14:08:29
Ouch, Bam, Splat, Zing.

I think I just got hit by an errand piece of the satellite. Ooops, the rest has just landed in my garden and some of it on top of my car.

I suppose this puts an end to the rest of the post-its huh.

Majot Tom to ground control....
43

zigzag,

28/01/2008 14:09:05
Major Tom to ground control
44

zigzag,

28/01/2008 14:09:43
Zenu wants #41
45

zigzag,

28/01/2008 14:10:08
Send in the Daleks
46

zigzag,

28/01/2008 14:10:52
We'll meet again dont know where dont know where...
47

zigzag,

28/01/2008 14:11:53

If it lands in Iran could it be deemed as a first pre-emptive strick?
48

zigzag,

28/01/2008 14:12:15


OMG WW lll
49

,

28/01/2008 14:23:22
Comment Removed By Administrator
Reason:
50

Black & White Triumph,

Greenhill road.....soon 28/01/2008 14:37:39
just for the administrator i was referring to my deeply held dislike for Bingo halls and their patrons
51

JohnHall,

Market Rasen 28/01/2008 15:38:57
This is not a new hazard. Britain, like the rest of the world has continualy suffered daily impacts from many kinds of space debris for a long time now. For one example, take note of the increase over the last few years of the many mystery fire incidents that have happened to various properties. It just needs the general public to realise this.
52

Douglas,

Bathgate 28/01/2008 15:48:14
Slioch 35: I get your drift, but then along comes the inconvenient fact that George W Bush is president of the USA and leader of the free world proving that the incredible and truth can co-exist. :o)
53

Douglas,

Bathgate 28/01/2008 15:54:15
Oh aye, and just while we're about it Mr Moderator, I assume #50 made reference to the object hitting the holiest site in the Moslem world and that's why he's been censored. By that standard it surely can't be long till #49 goes.
I'm not asking for it to be done, just questioning the ground rules.
54

Findlay Thompson,

28/01/2008 15:57:30
5,100 tonnes of junk fired into space since Sputnik, less the existing satellites.

Something has to be done to curb these litter louts from messing up space. By heck if I were "James T" I'd go back in time, zap Moscow, washington & the rest with my mighty Phase cannon.
55

weary observer,

USA 28/01/2008 16:33:09
Ah, these comments are great - esp. when compared to our US euphemistically called 'news' papers, in which comments tend to be either sanctimonious hand-wringing or empty pontificating!

One reason I continue to enjoy daily updates - today in particular comments from #10, 12, 17, and 19, 37 and 47!

56

Michaela,

Canada 28/01/2008 17:04:28
In 1978 a Soviet nuclear satellite Cosmos 954 came down in Canada's Northwest Territories, near Great Slave Lake, and sent a swath of radioactive waste over 124,000 sq. kms. of the Northwest Territories, Alberta and Saskatchewan. There was a joint Canada/U.S. cleanup and the Soviets were presented with a $15 million cleanup bill. The Soviets eventually paid less than half of the bill.
57

57Nomad,

california 28/01/2008 17:31:35
#34 tw

tw said:

"Since the recessioning US of A is sh*t*ing on everybody all over the world, why not have 20,000 pounds of space junk fall on a worth person or instituion."

Ahh, yeah,I see your point and its a good one. The only thing is, is that the US actually HAS a space program. That's why a lot of that junk is ours and not somebody else's, say, oh, I don't, how 'bout Canada?

Just messin' with you. You guys are some pretty cool studs and in Afghanistan your snipers have got the Taliban spooked and keeping their heads way, way down. Besides the next time the Space Shuttle goes up and the robot arm comes out, care to guess what's painted in great big letters right on it?








58

TimW1234,

Ottawa, Canada 28/01/2008 17:37:45
57 NOMAD

Of course I know - CANADA!!

But the USA tries to downplay that fact. They are such a jealous and petty people - present company excluded, of course.
59

Toots - Sheila,

Canada 28/01/2008 18:48:22
My list of "favourite sites" for this "landing" are London, Milton Keynes, Brussels and Strasbourg. Anywhere that had anything to do with stripping us endowment mortgage policyholders of everything we saved / invested and indebting us for life on our homes would be fine with me. And this would be them being "bussed" as opposed to buzzed!
60

bogmon,

28/01/2008 19:06:40
I dunno. You wait for one and then 600,000 arrive at the same time.
61

JohnHall,

Market Rasen 28/01/2008 19:09:15
Re: Michaela 56. I compliment your memory, it was called 'Operation Morning Light'. As well as the weight of the 954 itself it was also carrying 100 pounds of enriched uranium 235, but do you really believe Michaela that all the debris from that particular incident came down in the one place and at the same time? Speaking personally, I think not.
62

bogmon,

28/01/2008 19:09:56
It might land at a bus stop.
63

Michaela,

Canada 28/01/2008 19:34:33
#61 JohnHall: Heck no, the largest piece found weighed about 18 kilos. Some of it did fall right next to a trapper's cabin, that must have been the highlight of his day. Overall, only 1% of the debris was found, and haven't heard of any caribou glowing in the dark.
64

American,

28/01/2008 21:31:33
#55-weary-Actually #3 was pretty good, but I guess someone took offense to it and had it removed. Hint-He asked several times that it please hit mecca.
65

CANUCK,

TORONOTO 28/01/2008 22:09:02
Anybody know todays price of scrap metal -?
66

henrymanchester,

UK 28/01/2008 22:14:04
Lets hope if it misses Westminster it hits somewhere in France...

Preferably one of those Paris coffee shops that charge 10 Euro's for orange juice, coffee and a croissant!
67

thaijambo,

The Capital 28/01/2008 22:56:51
#27 I agree but can she be standing next to Tony Blair and his horrendous wife please.
68

Drum Major,

Keperra 28/01/2008 23:09:26
#21 They were not launched individually. They mainly consist of bolts, nuts & washers lost or junk that was just jettisoned ie jetsam. Please issue litter tickets.

#64 No. He was really trying to hit his local Maccas. Hang it all any Maccas will do. Just take aim at those golden arches. Wow radioactive hamburger buns. Find the one with the kryptonite.
69

BMeister,

28/01/2008 23:54:17
#35 Slioch
Thankyou, you are of course,correct. Although if it were true then surely it would not be less incredible as you state but, in fact, it would not be incredible at all but rather it would be credible?

Your final statement is still true though.
70

ProfH,

USA 29/01/2008 01:11:46
#9, I think we've established that any of the faithful Scotsman readers could put together a nice suit to sue the U.S. Government for "pain and suffering." Why not? I'm ashamed to say lesser suits have been victorious.

Interesting that #27 takes exception to Hillary, given the rest of the field.

Cheers to #41. France took Johnny Depp, England took Madonna and Gwyneth Paltrow, does Scotland want Tom and Katie??
71

Sharon D.,

newmarket 29/01/2008 01:32:30
yes no.58 it will say Canada, but the aero-space co. that made it was bought up by a US firm about six weeks ago, they have agreed to leave the name on it though!.
72

ericcartman75@yahoo.com,

wickham w.a. 29/01/2008 02:32:35
i hope this bus lands in wickham..hell, we cant even get a bus to stop in wickham let alone land on it.
73

Drum Major,

29/01/2008 02:51:25
#71 Money will buy a company but they probably forgot to buy the brains that designed the product.
74

Dáithí,

San Jose 29/01/2008 03:44:51
#65 - Canuck

>"Anybody know todays price of scrap metal -?

It's valuable, worth $$$.

The US has arranged to have money raining down on people and you still complain.

What a tough crowd!
75

Juan Pablo,

Naples, FL, USA 29/01/2008 05:00:37
Where oh where is Dr. Who when we need him!
76

MichScot,

USA 29/01/2008 05:26:53
Lively banter today!
77

Drum Major,

Keperra 29/01/2008 06:23:24
I need assistance to send my Canon Pixma ip3000 into space to replace this bus. It will make ideal space junk as I have been trying to get technical support from Canon Australia for the last 2 weeks to no avail. They have a phone number but do not employ anyone to actually carry out this role. Hence if it has a fault then space junk.
78

DJRoster,

Scottish Borders 29/01/2008 11:12:41
And here's me who thought there were more stars on a clear night!
79

Very Rev Ian Paisley,

29/01/2008 12:02:57
Could we programme the thing to land on George Foulkes?
80

RSBuff,

Several degrees off-plumb 29/01/2008 17:50:10
#44 Who do Zenu? Can you hear me, Major Tom?
81

Sambo,

The deep south 29/01/2008 22:58:31
If it's the size of a bus, maybe it's being driven by a polish guy. Let's prey it falls on Murrieta CA.
82

Grazia,

Lima 30/01/2008 02:35:18
I'm the Suicidal Bunny.

Please, please, let it to fall on my head!!!

(I'll be standing on George Bush's)

 

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