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Analysis: Now the blame game begins for Republicans



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Published Date: 06 November 2008
WITH a shrug of his shoulders, a Sunday school teacher in the crowd at what was to have been John McCain's victory rally in Phoenix struggled for the words to voice his disappointment.
"The world won't end tomorrow. We're good citizens and we need to support our government," said Don Baker after watching Barack Obama's march to the White House.

As Mr Baker predicted, the sun did rise in the United States yesterday, heralding a new dawn for the Democratic Party that has occupied the Oval Office for only eight years in the last 27.

But it failed to lift the gloom that had descended on the Republican Party. It marked the beginning of a period of recrimination and soul-searching, as the party's leaders combed the ruins of an election campaign that went so badly wrong.

"The Republican campaign started off substantially behind because of the conditions the election was held in," said William Claggett, a professor of political science at Florida State University.

"Large chunks of the population see an economy that's imploding, they feel saddled with an unpopular president and, after eight years, some portion of the electorate just wanted change.

"But the Republicans seemed to lack a consistent message. They'd try one topic one day, another topic the next. To win an election, you need to have some kind of coherent structure to repeat the message over and over, and they only seemed to find that in the last two weeks."

A centrepiece of Mr McCain's campaign was to play up his quarter-century as a congressman and senator for Arizona, and try to highlight Mr Obama's inexperience as a political leader and exploit areas where he appeared weak. It was a tactic that proved successful four years earlier when Karl Rove, George Bush's strategist-in-chief, masterminded the discrediting of the Democratic Party's candidate, John Kerry.

But Mr McCain's efforts were to backfire spectacularly. He accused Mr Obama of being out of touch and attacked his credentials for handling foreign policy and the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan at a time when voters' minds were fixed on job losses, house repossessions and the ailing economy at home.

In one speech, Mr McCain, 72, said he believed "the fundamentals of America's economy are still very strong", a statement he later tried to downplay. Prof Claggett said: "It was part of a number of things that suggested it was McCain who was out of touch with the economy and how it was affecting average individuals.

"It provided a message that Obama could use successfully in media ads and suggested that McCain didn't have the competence to handle the economy."

Questions will also be asked over Mr McCain's choice of Sarah Palin, the governor of Alaska, to be his running-mate.

The Republican hierarchy had hoped she would attract the votes of supporters of Hillary Clinton disenchanted with the Democrats. But Mrs Palin's political shortcomings were exposed in disastrous interviews, and she became almost a comedic sidebar to the main campaign after she was lampooned by the actress Tina Fey on Saturday Night Live, the country's foremost satirical show.

While hard-line Republican support held up in the South, two big demographic shifts occurred to give victory to Mr Obama. Ethnic minorities, including millions of Hispanics, turned out in force, tilting traditionally Republican states, such as Florida. And in the north-east, white, college-educated voters, who were a staple of Mr Bush's support, saw the Democrats as their best bet.

As the post-mortem begins, analysts say there is evidence that voters were switching off to Republican strategy.

"Turning the executive branch into a political arm of the Republican Party, stoking fear and division amid the electorate, trashing opponents without mercy, and casting national security as a wedge issue: all these tactics had short-term benefits, and indeed won Bush a second term," said Dan Froomkin, a Washington Post political columnist.

"Ultimately, they seem to have lost America."


Palin hints at bid for presidency in 2012

RHIANNON EDWARD

SARAH Palin hinted she would emerge from the ashes of John McCain's campaign as a potential leader of the Republican Party.

"I'm not doing this for naught," she told ABC News as the 2008 election entered its final week.

Despite her much-mocked candidacy, she will be seen as one of the party's leaders and a potential presidential candidate for 2012.

Drawing much larger crowds than Mr McCain on the campaign trail, the 44-year-old mother of five has been a polarising figure and will be central to any post-mortem examination of Mr McCain's second White House bid.

She invigorated the party's Christian conservative base, a key voting bloc Mr McCain struggled to tame, and was hailed as a bold "breath of fresh air" for the Republicans, frequently drawing more than 10,000 people at rallies across the country.

Her folksy charm and straight talking appealed to many Republicans, but she will also be criticised as a risky, inexperienced diva who cost Mr McCain the presidency.

Aides yesterday said she was more interested in "positioning herself for her own future" than in winning.


Obama inherits chaotic in-tray brimming with crisis and war

Faith, hope and clarity: The secrets of Obama's success

'Skinny kid with funny name' who'll lead the free world

Hail to the chief – but not every nation is won over

Black history: from slave plantation to president

Quarantine over for 'foot-in-mouth' Joe

The speech in full: Yes we can … the three little words that inspired a nation

Michelle Obama: First among equals


The full article contains 938 words and appears in The Scotsman newspaper.
Page 1 of 1

  • Last Updated: 06 November 2008 1:23 AM
  • Source: The Scotsman
  • Location: Edinburgh
  • Related Topics: John McCain , US elections
 
1

2dogs in D.C.,

06/11/2008 00:20:15
This article is probably going to be a fun read,later on.
2

Let's have the truth,

Queensland 06/11/2008 00:36:16
Let's hope the Palin woman does run in 2012, it would be another definite loss for them.
3

,

06/11/2008 01:07:12
Comment Removed By Administrator
Reason:
4

,

06/11/2008 01:40:01
Comment Removed By Administrator
Reason:
5

DrP,

Calgary 06/11/2008 02:56:16
Let's hope the Republican party does indeed shred itself in the aftermath of this defeat.
A manager of an ethanol plant in the midwest told the Guardian in an interview last week he could never vote for Obama: when asked why, he would only say Revelation chapter 13. Now Obama may not be the Messiah, but he's certainly not a seven headed monster.
How could any intelligent person belong to a party that includes racist dumbos like that
6

Moreen,

Scotsdale, AZ 06/11/2008 03:29:21
#5 DrP

Do you also ask yourself how could Obama belong to a church that had a racist minister like Wright for 20 years? I seriously doubt it.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=72B3tUAqpo4&feature=related
7

Richardinho,

06/11/2008 07:50:09
#6 The elections over dude.
8

Mikey,

06/11/2008 09:16:50
I'm just waiting for some right wing looney to tell us that the reason the Republicans lost is because "the people" perceived Dubya as a communist!

I have an American wife and lived in the US for a while. My wife is from Ca. and I lived for a while in Ga. While the vast majority of the people I lived with and worked beside were lovely people, their ignorance of their own political system was breathtaking! Add to that the reasoning that anything out of state was "international" and you have a strange electorate.

Very few people could point out Scotland on a map. Very few people understood the electoral college system, nor knew that a state's electoral college could overrule the state's voters.

There were many other gaffes like this. Perhaps the education system is built around keeping the people in the dark?

As i said, lovely people but terrible education system!
9

Mashimaro,

China 06/11/2008 09:48:49
Meh... we don't care... we don't even care whether or not we care...
10

Keithie Boy,

St Albans 06/11/2008 11:53:38
Palin? Jeez. So that'll be 8 years of "O". He might even be able to achieve something in that timeframe hopefully. A good solid 8 years before he hads over to somebody else. Palin can't be taken seriously and if the Republican leadership are dumb enough to believe that she can win in 2012 thne they need to get out more. John McCain is a good man and would have made a fine (one term) President. I think that was obvious by his superb speech congratulating Obama. What poisoned his campaign was him not being allowed to be himself and being saddled with that dumb lipstick'd mutt. The fact that Republicans can't see that is astounding.
11

Calum Crubag,

06/11/2008 12:42:42
The Republican scaremongering is a lot like Labour against the SNP. An SNP victory would be a 'disaster' they told us. Instead, a few months later they were criticising the SNP for their 'populist' policies - i.e. they were popular. Something, right-wing Labour hasn't been for a long while. Under Blair or Brown.
12

SouthernGent,

06/11/2008 15:43:39
#8
Our education system is dominated by self serving unions that don't put the pupils first. We have teachers that don't qualify to drive the garbage truck, yet they can't be fired because of union contracts.

Don't get me wrong, there are many good, devouted teachers, but even they will tell you that the dead weight is dragging down the system.

And your post shows the need for a "voting test". How can one vote that doesn't even know the issues?

We just voted for the most powerful "American Idol" in history.
13

D. Feste - Illyria, OH,

06/11/2008 23:13:20

You mean that Africa is NOT a country ?



14

Rob Bennett,

Point Piper Australia 07/11/2008 02:33:19
There's only one person to blame here and that's Sarah Palin who will be skinned like a moose in the near future.

Good riddance to Palin and the republican rednecks
15

D. Feste - Illyria, OH,

09/11/2008 13:20:50

Sen. Graham: * * * GOP Lost to Obama's Positive View

Friday, November 7, 2008 5:30 PM

CHARLESTON, S.C. -- Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham said Friday the GOP lost the White House because the party was tainted by corruption, overspending and "sometimes came across as a bunch of grumpy old men."




16

Let's have the truth,

Queensland 13/11/2008 02:49:06
#8 Mikey

"I'm just waiting for some right wing looney to tell us that the reason the Republicans lost is because...."

Mikey, some right wing looney has already has announced that it was George Bush's fault.


http://news.scotsman.com/uselections/Sarah-Palin-blames-Bush-for.4682937.jp

 

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