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Gas row starves Balkans of heat

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Published Date: 08 January 2009
THOUSANDS of Bulgarians, Bosnians and Serbs were left in the cold and some companies and schools closed down yesterday after Russian gas supplies to south-eastern Europe dried up.
The disruption in Bosnia brought back bitter memories of the 1992-95 conflict when heating was often off in winter. "It all reminds me of the war when we were freezing, except there is no shooting," said Hilmo Celjo, who stood in a queue on the outsk
irts of Sarajevo to buy wood and coal.

The western Balkans and Bulgaria, the poorest European Union nation, were among the worst hit by a cut in Russian gas supplies to Europe via Ukraine over a price row.

They have no access to alternative routes and rely almost entirely on Russian gas, which stopped flowing to Europe via Ukraine completely yesterday after dwindling since 1 January.

At least 45,000 households in Bulgaria were without central heating yesterday. Dozens of schools were closed, with close to 76,000 households in Bosnia's capital, Sarajevo, and over 3,000 in the eastern town of Zvornik, left shivering.

Shops in Sarajevo ran out of electric heaters after residents rushed in panic to secure alternative heat sources as temperatures hit -15C overnight.

In Serbia, officials said they had no more reserves and that tens of thousands of people had lost heating when most were at home to celebrate Orthodox Christmas.

People in Serbia's second largest city, Novi Sad, where a third of the population of more than 200,000 rely on natural gas for heating, were unable to convert to other fuels. Neither Bosnia nor Serbia has gas reserves to fall back on.

Petar Dimitrov, Bulgaria's economy and energy minister, said: "This is an absurd situation for the 21st century. Russia and Ukraine must find a quick solution as the economies of half of Europe are at risk."

Croatia announced a state of emergency, which allows it to begin rationing to industrial users. Romania and Bulgaria held national security meetings to address the issue, while Hungary and Slovakia, which receives all of its gas from Russia, began reducing natural gas deliveries to big industrial customers.

Norway, another big gas supplier to Europe, said it cannot do much to offset the Russian shortfalls because it was at near maximum production and pipeline capacity for exports.

All this has come as much as the continent battles freezing conditions. Temperatures in Poland, one of the affected countries, have fallen to -25C and killed seven people.

In an attempt to force a resolution to the dispute the Czech prime minister, Mirek Topolanek, whose country holds the EU presidency, took the unusual measure of issuing an ultimatum to the feuding parties yesterday.

Mr Topolanek gave Russia and Ukraine 24 hours to come to an agreement. "If supplies are not restored tomorrow then we will have to see strong EU intervention," he said.

Representatives from the Ukrainian firm Naftogaz and Russia's Gazprom are due to meet in Moscow today.

Many in Ukraine believe that Gazprom's actions are intended to punish Ukraine for its pro-western stance, and to warn it against any plans for closer co-operation with the West.

Robert Wood, a US state department spokesman, put the blame on Moscow. "Cutting off these supplies during winter to a vulnerable population is just unacceptable to us," he said.


Both sides have good reasons to resolve row

ENERGY experts believe the gas drought will not last longer than a few days.

Analysts point out it is not in the interests of either Ukraine and Russia to prolong the dispute much longer. "I would expect in the next seven to ten days we will see a resolution," Nick McGregor, an oil and gas analyst with the stockbroker Redmayne Bentley, said.

While the gas remains off, Ukraine's hopes of courting the West suffer, and the country risks isolation at a time it can ill afford.

Moscow has its own reasons to get the gas flowing again. "Russia needs the money now," Mr McGregor said. "They have used their reserves in countering the financial crisis, so they don't want to see financial disruption."

Alternatives to Europe's dependency on Russian gas remain scant – a move towards more liquid natural gas consumption remains hamstrung by limited infrastructure. Central and southern Europe will suffer most, and this could result in some form of rationing.

Jerome Guillet, an investment banker active in the energy sector, believes the only real long-term option is more green energy and greater efficiency.



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  • Last Updated: 07 January 2009 10:18 PM
  • Source: The Scotsman
  • Location: Edinburgh
  • Related Topics: Russia
 
1

First Virginian,

USA 08/01/2009 04:19:18
Hopefully the USA will stay out of this disagreement between Russia and the Ukraine.

This is none of our business. Let the countries involved figure it out.

We have our own problems thanks to US administrations trying to be the policemen of the world since WW II.

Absolutely no foreign aid or intervention from the US government!
2

Prester John,

Pots_n_Pans 08/01/2009 06:46:11
Ronald Reagan was right when he counselled western Europe not to become dependent upon Russian natural gas. We're just seeing the beginning of the problems.
3

Mashimaro,

China 08/01/2009 07:08:38
#2 The problem is that the Ukraine is stealing your gas. Maybe you should take the issue up with them.
4

Prester John,

Pots_n_Pans 08/01/2009 07:25:34
I don't know the rights or wrongs of this situation but you're placing a lot of reliance upon the Russians being right and the Ukrainians being in the wrong. It's immaterial in one sense. Reagan was aware of the various geopolitical implications of energy supplies and warned accordingly.

Equally, don't start about him being some sort of idiot. A lot of people were fooled by the 'good ol' country boy' approach but you don't get to be President without being pretty shrewd. Most of his fundamental ideas were reasonably 'on the money'. I hold no brief for him (or Dubya come to that) but he did make the job manageable - remember Jimmy Carter just about collapsing in a run a few years before.
5

James Donald,

Newbridge 08/01/2009 08:44:00
#3 Mashimaro,Red China - Come on Zippy, at least try to be convincing. This is part of Mad Vlad's unsubtle power politics to drive a wedge between the Ukraine and "the West" (or rather the EU and NATO) as he believes that the Ukraine should be in his "sphere of influence".
6

Mashimaro,

China 08/01/2009 09:01:37
#5 yeah but Jimmy you don't know anything so you don't count.

#4 I agree that it is dumb to rely on anyone for anything this vital. But this constant demonisation of Russia is really stupid. Russia should be part of the EU. The reason that it is not is Nato. Nato is fighting for its existance and there's a lot of money and power concentrated right there. The euros should tell the yanks to go away, and they should embrace Russia as the huge trading partner it is.
However, while they don't do that, China will continue to benefit, so... what do I care?
7

ddmc,

08/01/2009 09:54:29
#4 perhaps the fact that Ukraine was caught "dipping" the gas during the dispute in 2005 lends weight to the Russian claims of Ukraine of doing the same again this time. Russia has increased the flow of gas in pipelines not going via Ukraine.

The EU needed to build a new pipeline bypassing Ukraine after 2005, but as they were inticing Ukraine to join NATO they didn't. As I said yesterday Ukraine shouldn't have been so quick to back Georgia, everyone knows not to p!$$ on your own doorstep.
8

Dragonhead,

Dalian,China 08/01/2009 12:20:21
Recently in China 4 new Oil fields discovered near Daqing. Oil and gas galore and they have hardly scratched the surface in Heilongjiang since oil was discovered there.
9

Phil Lawrence,

Tallinn 08/01/2009 12:40:57
This story could have an impact in Scotland when one considers that the Bosnian town of Zvornik is home to the UBIG owned Birac aluminium smelter which was forced to close yesterday due to the failure of the gas supply.

I had always imagined that part of the task of a journalist in a regional newspaper is to contextualise the news and represent how regional issues are, or may be, affected by international events.

Just in case there is any doubt about what I am driving at it is the self same UBIG that owns Heart of Midlothian FC and around which there are so many rumours of cashflow problems. Therefore it may be safe to surmise that the enforced closure of Birac will impact on UBIG in general and there may very well be a knock-on effect to HMFC.

Hey presto, a regional context to international news! Not very difficult is it?
10

Phil Lawrence,

Tallinn 08/01/2009 12:44:08
OK, now I see that the journalist was in Warsaw. Could a sub-editor in Edinburgh not pick up on this story and have had a staffer tack on 100 words of local colour?
11

Mashimaro,

China 08/01/2009 12:51:03
#10 no, that's not their job and they don't have the time.
12

Cabe,

08/01/2009 13:49:59
It's probably a ploy by Mr Bush, Yushenko of Ukraine and Saakastvilli of Georgia to force Europe into an agreement to build an alternative route that bypasses Russia.
13

Phil Lawrence,

Tallinn 08/01/2009 17:18:57
#12 ...and how would Russia be expected to export its gas if the pipeline bypassed the source? If you are suggesting that the Central Asian states and Azerbaijan might be better served by alternative export routes then there may be a point to that but Azerbaijan already pipes gas to Erzurum in Turkey through the South Caucasus Pipeline with a new pipeline planned to continue into Europe from there. Russia has guaranteed to buy the total production of the Central Asian states so where is their incentive to invest? The SCP has the potential to be linked to Turkmen and Kazakh supply but the proposed Trans-Caspian Gas Pipeline is not progressing due in major part to a)the cost, b)Iran's opposition on environmental grounds and c) Russia cozying up to Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan. Fundamentally Iran and Russia are opposed to anyone interfering with their energy hegemony in the Caspian basin and will do what it takes to squeeze out any other interests.
14

James Donald,

Newbridge 08/01/2009 21:08:21
#6 Mashimaro,Red China - Not much of a T-shirt slogan, Zippy. Must try harder to defend your hero Mad Vlad.
15

Zyskandar A Jaimot,

Orlando, Fl., USA 17/01/2009 02:22:22
All of youse LEFTY-LOSER LANKERS need to realize that 'MAD'VLAD + the RUSSKY robber-barons at GAZPROM is broke cause they wasted all their monies on vodka + vacation dachas + randy RUSSKY pros-ti-tutees!!! What do high-price BULGARIANS need hot-water for anyway - they don't bathe and the hair-lipped women don't shave their legs or underarms??? COLD WATER - CUTS DOWN ON THEIR LIBIDO AND HELPS GLOBAL WARMING. Ha.

 

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